Thursday, February 25, 2010

[K934.Ebook] Get Free Ebook Cisco CCNP TSHOOT Simplified: Your Complete Guide to Passing the Cisco CCNP TSHOOT 642-832 Exam, by Farai Tafa, Paul Browning

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Cisco CCNP TSHOOT Simplified: Your Complete Guide to Passing the Cisco  CCNP TSHOOT 642-832 Exam, by Farai Tafa, Paul Browning

The Cisco CCNP is a highly sought after qualification and represents the bridge between the Cisco CCNA and CCIE certifications. Cisco CCNP engineers are never short of work in the networking community, either as senior network engineers or as freelance contractors. They have a very good working knowledge of routing protocols, local area networking, network security, wide area networking technologies and, of course, troubleshooting techniques.

The Cisco CCNP now consists of three exams: 642-902 ROUTE-Implementing Cisco IP Routing 642-813 SWITCH-Implementing Cisco IP Switched Networks 642-832 TSHOOT-Troubleshooting and Maintaining Cisco IP Networks This manual concentrates on the TSHOOT exam. Some of the topics you are going to learn include:

  • Network Monitoring and Maintenance
  • Troubleshooting Methodologies and Tools
  • Troubleshooting Switches at Layers 1-3
  • Troubleshooting EIGRP
  • Troubleshooting OSPF
  • Troubleshooting BGP
  • Troubleshooting Cisco IOS Security Features
  • Troubleshooting Cisco IOS DHCP and NAT
  • Troubleshooting IPv6
  • Troubleshooting Cisco Wireless LANs
  • Troubleshooting Cisco Voice and Video

Bonus Feature: We have included five multi-technology troubleshooting labs set in a support ticket style, just as you will experience in the exam. You can configure these labs on your own home rack or on our live racks at: .howtonetwork.net

  • Sales Rank: #2546683 in Books
  • Brand: Brand: Reality Press Limited
  • Published on: 2011-04-29
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 11.69" h x 1.49" w x 8.27" l, 3.43 pounds
  • Binding: Paperback
  • 660 pages
Features
  • Used Book in Good Condition

Most helpful customer reviews

2 of 2 people found the following review helpful.
Chapter content great, Lab material is lacking.
By Pete McDonnell
The chapter content is a distilled concise amount of information which prepares you for the exam. The lab material is being reworked (the starting configs and other resources) and is difficult to find.

1 of 1 people found the following review helpful.
Great pre test review
By Kyurick
I really like the authors writing style. This is one of three guides I'm reading prior to the exam. Every exam objective is covered and is out in manageable sizes. I'd highly recommend anyone who is preparing for the TSHOOT exam to read this

0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
Great authors!
By safronsoup
Great book to read to learn how to troubleshoot a network. This was my second go-around obtaining the CCNP R&S and the books Paul Browning and Farai Tafa authored were what I used to pass the three exams!

See all 9 customer reviews...

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Monday, February 22, 2010

[K587.Ebook] PDF Download Sentiment in the Forex Market: Indicators and Strategies To Profit from Crowd Behavior and Market Extremes, by Jamie Saettele

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Sentiment in the Forex Market: Indicators and Strategies To Profit from Crowd Behavior and Market Extremes, by Jamie Saettele

Crowds move markets and at major market turning points, the crowds are almost always wrong. When crowd sentiment is overwhelmingly positive or overwhelmingly negative ? it's a signal that the trend is exhausted and the market is ready to move powerfully in the opposite direction. Sentiment has long been a tool used by equity, futures, and options traders.

In Sentiment in the Forex Market, FXCM analyst Jaime Saettele applies sentiment analysis to the currency market, using both traditional and new sentiment indicators, including: Commitment of Traders reports; time cycles; pivot points; oscillators; and Fibonacci time and price ratios. He also explains how to interpret news coverage of the markets to get a sense of when participants have become overly bullish or bearish. Saettele points out that several famous traders such as George Soros and Robert Prechter made huge profits by identifying shifts in crowd sentiment at major market turning points. Many individual traders lose money in the currency market, Saettele asserts, because they are too short-term oriented and trade impulsively. He believes retail traders would be much more successful if they adopted a longer-term, contrarian approach, utilizing sentiment indicators to position themselves at the beginning points of major trends.

  • Sales Rank: #1431768 in Books
  • Published on: 2008-08-04
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 9.30" h x .80" w x 6.30" l, .84 pounds
  • Binding: Hardcover
  • 208 pages

From the Inside Flap
With a number of firms now offering retail traders direct access to the interbank foreign exchange market, participation in the FX market has grown substantially. As a result, the amount of technical and fundamental information available to traders has increased exponentially in recent years. An area that has failed to receive the same amount of attention is sentiment.

Trading on sentiment works because market tops occur when the majority of traders are overwhelmingly bullish and market bottoms occur when an overwhelming majority is bearish. Traders that understand how to determine when a particular market is extremely bullish or bearish have an edge over those traders that follow only traditional technicals or fundamentals.

Nobody is more familiar with this situation than author Jamie Saettele. As a Technical Currency Analyst for Forex Capital Markets LLC—the largest player in the online currency-trading industry—Saettele shares his invaluable insights with thousands of traders each day. Now, with Sentiment in the Forex Market, he'll show you how to achieve unparalleled investment success byintegrating only the most effective sentiment indicators into your daily currency trading activities.

Written with the serious trader in mind, this practical guide provides you with the knowledge needed to develop a top-down, sentiment-based approach to trading the Forex market. Throughout these pages, Saettele puts the entire process in perspective, as he examines how to use Commitments of Traders (COT) reports and other important indicators to locate sentiment extremes that can lead to profitable market reversals. Along the way, he also explains how to interpret market news coverage to gain a greater sense of when participants have become overly bullish or bearish. After exploring what it takes to gauge the psychological state of the market, Saettele rounds out the discussion by addressing how to assess risk and time your currency trades using Elliott Wave theory, Fibonacci principles, and other powerful technical tools.

To profit from today's foreign exchange market, sentiment should play an important role in your trading program. With Sentiment in the Forex Market as your guide, you'll quickly discover why this is true and how you can make more money with this proven method.

From the Back Cover

Praise for Sentiment in the Forex Market

"This is a focused book on a key aspect of technical analysis. It takes a stand on the value of sentiment indicators in the Forex market and sticks with it. Anyone who has yet to build a firm foundation for understanding market behavior would do well to start with this book."
—ROBERT PRECHTER, Elliott Wave International

"Jamie Saettele uses clear logic and builds a strong case to shatter myths about efficient markets and conventional trading wisdom. In this thought-provoking work, which can be applied to a variety of trading markets, Saettele favors a road less traveled. This book will change more than a few minds about which tactics make sense in the Forex market."
—ED PONSI, President, FXEducator.com

"Jamie has done research that provides a totally unique perspective on the currency markets-—what he has to say about sentiment and crowd behavior is essential reading for every trader."
—ROB BOOKER, independent trader and host of TraderRadio.net

About the Author
JAMIE SAETTELE is the Technical Currency strategist at Forex Capital Markets LLC (FXCM) in New York. He has contributed to Technical Analysis of Stocks and Commodities magazine, SFO magazine, Futures magazine, and Investopedia.com. His technical strategy is published daily at DailyFX.com. A graduate of Bucknell University, Saettele is an active currency trader employing both discretionary and systematic approaches to the foreign exchange market.

Most helpful customer reviews

5 of 5 people found the following review helpful.
Not quite complete
By Tony
The book starts out well. It builds a case for Sentiment trading, and gets you thinking about how it actually works. The author says technical indicators are a general waste of time (However the latter half of the book is devoted to technical indicators - which makes no sense to sentiment trading... further more... the charts used are actually missing the indicators it says should be there.. pages 142-145... blank charts). Then it begins to fall apart after that. The author explains how he uses COT but never actually helps you understand the COT report itself (if you decide to look at it on line). Nor does the author explain how to set it up on your own spread sheet if you wanted to do that. How to exit a trade is so inadequate as well. Then the time devoted to "putting it all together" is one page of summary that doesn't actually tell you how to put a trading system together. Basically it means you still have a lot of work to do to put together a sentiment trading system as this book doesn't help in doing that. It seems the author attacked the subject with vigour to start with then just dropped the ball half way through and padded it out with indicators - which he says are worthless in the first half of the book anyway. I'd give it 2.5 stars out of 5 as the first half of the book is interesting... the second half you can easily replicate from information on-line and is not relevant to sentiment trading.

3 of 4 people found the following review helpful.
Absolutely essential in today's market
By A. Horne
As a active FX trader and follower of the methods of Larry Williams Jake Bernstein, I found this book essential to developing a workable, scalable and most importantly...profitable trading plan. Backtested and forward tested...in a word, it works! Solid, straightforward writing, examples and formulas. Recommended highly for the experienced trader; newbies probably won't grasp it. It is not a Holy Grail; the methodology requires a good deal of screen time experience and actual manual trading to calibrate the nuances in both calculations and charting. Slog thru it, you will not be sorry! Thank you Jamie!

15 of 18 people found the following review helpful.
Very strong tool to consider in your trade decision making process
By Joao Borras
I am a long time reader of DailyFX site and find it very useful.
One tool that caught my attention some time ago was the COT report column, write by Jamie Saettele.
The book goes further in explain the COT report itself, how to generate indicators from COT data, how to interpret it and, finally, how to use it as a tool to help trigger trades.
Well explained, with plenty of charts, it also has an introduction to Elliot Wave theory, largely used by the author in his tracking of markets.
I recommend the book because of it introduces this subject in a very straight forward way, easy to understand and apply immediately in your trading routine.

See all 17 customer reviews...

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Friday, February 19, 2010

[W293.Ebook] Free PDF Why the West Rules--for Now: The Patterns of History, and What They Reveal About the Future, by Ian Morris

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Why the West Rules--for Now: The Patterns of History, and What They Reveal About the Future, by Ian Morris

A New York Times Notable Book for 2011

Sometime around 1750, English entrepreneurs unleashed the astounding energies of steam and coal, and the world was forever changed. The emergence of factories, railroads, and gunboats propelled the West's rise to power in the nineteenth century, and the development of computers and nuclear weapons in the twentieth century secured its global supremacy. Now, at the beginning of the twenty-first century, many worry that the emerging economic power of China and India spells the end of the West as a superpower. In order to understand this possibility, we need to look back in time. Why has the West dominated the globe for the past two hundred years, and will its power last?

Describing the patterns of human history, the archaeologist and historian Ian Morris offers surprising new answers to both questions. It is not, he reveals, differences of race or culture, or even the strivings of great individuals, that explain Western dominance. It is the effects of geography on the everyday efforts of ordinary people as they deal with crises of resources, disease, migration, and climate. As geography and human ingenuity continue to interact, the world will change in astonishing ways, transforming Western rule in the process.

Deeply researched and brilliantly argued, Why the West Rules―for Now spans fifty thousand years of history and offers fresh insights on nearly every page. The book brings together the latest findings across disciplines―from ancient history to neuroscience―not only to explain why the West came to rule the world but also to predict what the future will bring in the next hundred years.

  • Sales Rank: #40528 in Books
  • Brand: PowerbookMedic
  • Published on: 2011-10-25
  • Released on: 2011-10-25
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 8.15" h x 1.36" w x 5.57" l, 1.70 pounds
  • Binding: Paperback
  • 768 pages
Features
  • Great product!

From Booklist
Only the supremely self-confident put forth all-encompassing theories of world history, and Morris is one such daredevil. An archaeologist by academic specialty, he advances a quasi-deterministic construct that is suitable for nonacademics. From a repeatedly enunciated premise that humans by nature are indolent, avaricious, and fearful, Morris holds that such traits, when combined with sociology and geography, explain history right from the beginning, when humanity trudged out of Africa, through the contemporary rivalry between China and America. Such temporal range leaves scant room for individual human agency: Morris names the names of world history, but in his narrative, leaders and tyrants, at best, muddle through patterns of history that are beyond their power to shape. And those patterns, he claims, can be numerically measured by a “social development index” that he applies to every epochal change from agriculture to the industrial revolution. However, the reading is not as heavy as it may sound. His breezy style and what-if imagination for alternative scenarios should maintain audience interest; whether his sweeping perspective convinces is another matter altogether. --Gilbert Taylor

Review

“Morris is a lucid thinker and a fine writer. . .possessed of a welcome sense of humor that helps him guide us through this grand game of history as if he were an erudite sportscaster.” ―Orville Schell, The New York Times Book Review

“An excellent and amusing survey of the last [fifty] thousand years or so of human history.” ―Jane Smiley, The Washington Post

“The greatest nonfiction book written in recent times.” ―The Business Standard

“A pathbreaking work that lays out what modern history should look like.…Entertaining and plausibly argued.” ―Harold James, Financial Times (London)

“In an era when cautious academics too often confine themselves to niggling discussions of pipsqueak topics, it is a joy to see a scholar take a bold crack at explaining the vast sweep of human progress. . .
Readers of Why the West Rules―For Now are unlikely to see the history of the world in quite the same way ever again. And that can't be said of many books on any topic. Morris has penned a tour de force.” ―Keith Monroe, The Virginian-Pilot

“Readers of Why the West Rules--For Now are unlikely to see the history of the world in quite the same way ever again. And that can't be said of many books on any topic. Morris has penned a tour de force.” ―Keith Monroe, The Virginian-Pilot

“If you read one history book this year, if you read one this decade, this is the one.” ―Tim O' Connell, The Florida Times-Union

“A monumental effort...Morris is an engaging writer with deep insights from archaeology and ancient history that offer us compelling visions about how the past influences the future.” ―Michael D. Langan, Buffalo News

“A remarkable book that may come to be as widely read as Paul Kennedy's 1987 work, ‘The Rise and Fall of the Great Powers.' Like Mr Kennedy's epic, Mr Morris's ‘Why the West Rules--For Now' uses history and an overarching theory to address the anxieties of the present . . . This is an important book--one that challenges, stimulates and entertains. Anyone who does not believe there are lessons to be learned from history should start here.” ―The Economist

“Morris' new book illustrates perfectly why one really scholarly book about the past is worth a hundred fanciful works of futurology. Morris is the world's most talented ancient historian, a man as much at home with state-of-the-art archaeology as with the classics as they used to be studied . . . He has brilliantly pulled off what few modern academics would dare to attempt: a single-volume history of the world that offers a bold and original answer to the question, Why did the societies that make up 'the West' pull ahead of 'the Rest' not once but twice, and most spectacularly in the modern era after around 1500? Wearing his impressive erudition lightly -- indeed, writing with a wit and clarity that will delight the lay reader -- Morris uses his own ingenious index of social development as the basis for his answer.” ―Niall Ferguson, Foreign Affairs

“A formidable, richly engrossing effort to determine why Western institutions dominate the world . . . Readers will enjoy [Morris's] lively prose and impressive combination of scholarship . . . with economics and science. A superior contribution to the grand-theory-of-human-history genre.” ―Kirkus Reviews (starred review)

“Ian Morris has returned history to the position it once held: no longer a series of dusty debates, nor simple stories--although he has many stories to tell and tells them brilliantly--but a true magister vitae, ‘teacher of life.' Morris explains how the shadowy East-West divide came about, why it really does matter, and how one day it might end up. His vision is dazzling, and his prose irresistible. Everyone from Sheffield to Shanghai who wants to know not only how they came to be who and where they are but where their children and their children's children might one day end up must read this book.” ―Anthony Pagden, author of Worlds and War: The 2,500-Year Struggle Between East and West

“This is an astonishing work by Ian Morris: hundreds of pages of the latest information dealing with every aspect of change. Then, the questions of the future: What will a new distribution bring about? Will Europe undergo a major change? Will the millions of immigrants impose a new set of rules on the rest? There was a time when Europe could absorb any and all newcomers. Now the newcomers may dictate the terms. The West may continue to rule, but the rule may be very different.” ―David S. Landes, author of The Wealth and Poverty of Nations

“Here you have three books wrapped into one: an exciting novel that happens to be true; an entertaining but thorough historical account of everything important that happened to any important people in the last ten millennia; and an educated guess about what will happen in the future. Read, learn, and enjoy!” ―Jared Diamond, Professor of Geography at UCLA, and Pulitzer Prize–winning author of Guns, Germs, and Steel, Collapse, and Natural Experiments of History

“Ian Morris is a classical archaeologist, an ancient historian, and a writer whose breathtaking vision and scope make him fit to be ranked alongside the likes of Jared Diamond and David Landes. His magnum opus is a tour not just d'horizon but de force, taking us on a spectacular journey to and from the two nodal cores of the Euramerican West and the Asian East, alighting and reflecting as suggestively upon 10,800 BC as upon AD 2010. The shape of globalizing history may well never be quite the same again.” ―Paul Cartledge, A. G. Leventis Professor of Greek Culture, Clare College

“At last--a brilliant historian with a light touch. We should all rejoice.” ―John Julius Norwich

“Deeply thought-provoking and engagingly lively, broad in sweep and precise in detail.” ―Jonathan Fenby, author of Modern China: The Fall and Rise of a Great Power, 1850 to the Present

“Morris's history of world dominance sparkles as much with exotic ideas as with extraordinary tales. Why the West Rules--for Now is both a riveting drama and a major step toward an integrated theory of history.” ―Richard Wrangham, author of Catching Fire: How Cooking Made Us Human

“The nearest thing to a unified field theory of history we are ever likely to get. With wit and wisdom, Ian Morris deploys the techniques and insights of the new ancient history to address the biggest of all historical questions: Why on earth did the West beat the Rest? I loved it.” ―Niall Ferguson, author of The Ascent of Money

About the Author

IAN MORRIS is Willard Professor of Classics and History at Stanford University. He has published ten scholarly books, including, most recently, The Dynamics of Ancient Empires, and has directed excavations in Greece and Italy. He lives in the Santa Cruz Mountains in California.

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3 of 3 people found the following review helpful.
Interesting way to view history using numerical values
By lawrence kittiver
A 14,000 year review of human history using a value called social development. He gives the year 2000 a base value of 1000 divided into four categories: urbanism, energy, communication and military. Each gets 250 points. History starts in 14,000BCE with a 4 or 5 score while today society gets a score of over 1000. Almost all this gain has been in the last 250 years. Progress has been ragged and often runs into ceilings and drops back for several centuries ( like the dark ages). He then uses this score in graph form and explains what was going on historically to give these results.

he then takes it a step further to compare Western (Middle east to USA) and Eastern ( China) civilizations. We watch the lines run parallel for a long period and diverge and crossover and he this way we have a race. He explains key historical events and shows how that shows up in the values and on the graphs. All very good and very informative and unique to see history told this way.

But in parts there is too much detail and thus the book is excessively long, over 600 pages. I had to speed read at least 200-250 pages and I don't think I lost anything. In fact on reviewing the book I am convinced I didn't miss anything of much value by my skimming vast sections.

He then looks into the future using his developed theories of what contributes to society and its development and hence its history. He acknowledges others who have gone before him in this endeavor, notably the geographer Jared Diamond author of Guns, Germs and Steel and Collapse ( I have also read and recommend these excellent books) His look into the future relies heavily on the dominant progress of technology and mirrors what others have said about robots, artificial intelligence, mind/machine merger etc. It is interesting to see how similar the thoughts on the future are among historians, sociologists, neuro scientists , technologists and futurists.

So if you can speed read parts that would otherwise bog you down, while stopping and pondering the significant things the author has to say and those parts that spark your interest, this book is a good and worthwhile read. In other words I would urge you to read discriminatingly and not compulsory. Everything he says does not have equal value or is necessary to know for the reader.

254 of 267 people found the following review helpful.
Like playing Sid Meier's Civilization
By Bernard Kwan
As can be seem by both the summary and and various book reviews, this is big history, encompassing the dawn of the first homonids (or ape-men as the author put it) to present day, with a chapter conjecturing about the future.

I was going to try and compare it to some of books in the same genre that I have read, but this book takes, disproves and/ or builds on their arguments - books such as Kennedy's Rise and Fall of the Great Powers, Jared Diamond's Guns, Germs and Steel, Pommeranz's the Great Divergence, Landes' The Wealth and Poverty of Nations - and they are all cited in his book and Morris takes pains to show how they only focus on one small piece of the picture. Indeed the feeling of reading this must have been similar for those who read Marx's Das Kapital for the first time (although the language is much more accessible and the conclusion is open ended) in that it attempts to set out underlying laws of history.

In the words of the author - "History is not one damn thing after another, it is a single grand and relentless process of adaptations to the world that always generate new problems (in the form of disease, famine, climate change, migration and state failure) that call for further adaptations. And each breakthrough came not as a result of tinkering but as a result of desperate times, calling for desperate measures." There may be set backs and hard ceilings, with free will and culture being the wildcards that may hinder social development but eventually the conditions give rise to ideas that allow progress to be made.

Indeed the motor of progress is not some economic logic, but what he calls the Morris Theorem - (expanding an idea from the great SF writer Robert Heinlein) to explain the course of history - Change is caused by lazy, greedy frightened people (who rarely know what they are doing) looking for easier more profitable and safer ways to do things. And it is geography that is the key determining factor where something develops first - Maps, not Chaps.

Now all this sounds academic and boring and in the case of the Morris theorem a little oversimplistic, but the presentation definitely is not. As professor Jared Diamond states, it is like an exciting novel (told by a cool eccentric uncle) and he uses a wide range of popular media to support his case, at one point talking about the movies Back to the Future, 300, the Scorpion King or making references to novels such as the Bonesetters Daughter and Clan of the Cave bear to bring conditions to life. Indeed the emotional similarities (and sheer sense of fun!) to playing early versions of the Sid Meier's Civilization Computer Game are uncanny.

There is a wide range of material here to satisfy a range of interests - his summaries of the fossil record, and early middle eastern and Chinese history are succinct and clear. Especially on the Chinese side, I had to read 2 books - the Golden Age of Chinese Archaelogy and the Cambridge History of Ancient China to gain the same understanding of what he summarizes in about 7-8 pages. He discourses on the role of the Axial religions, on whether democracy was important to the rule of the west, the role of free will in history, and on provocative ideas like the Qin and Roman empires expemplifing what he calls the paradox of violence: when the rivers of blood dried, their imperialism left most people, in the west and the east better off. I could go on and on and, of course, there may be many experts who take issue with his interpretations (and his predictions) but it will definitely stimulate thinking.

If I had to make a criticism of the book - it is that, like Marx, it is fundamentally materialistic in its approach, ideas are like memes that facilitate social development and culture is something that can help or hinder development but has no value in itself. The great religious ideas are glossed over as a product of or reaction to their times. It has precious little to say about the spiritual life and spiritual discoveries such as ethics, meditation or psychology. It may be these discoveries and qualities that will be required to get us through the challenges - of climate change, overpopulation, resourse shortages and potential nuclear war.

It is worthwhile comparing the book to two writings that he cites as inspiration (1) Herbert Spencer - Progress its Law and Cause and (2) Isaac Azimov's Foundation series. In each case they try to identify the forces that drive humanity but Spencer just doesn't have the data in the 19th century and the historian Hari Seldon is joke amongst professional historians as the novels seem so implausibly optimistic about what history can do. I don't know if Ian Morris has succeeded in identifying the laws of history but this book could only have been written now, at the end of the first decade of the 21st Century, drawing together the strains from archaeology, genetics, linguistics as well as sociology and economics to create something altogether new and wonderful and accessible to that elusive thing - the educated lay reader.

3 of 3 people found the following review helpful.
Big Picture, Big Ideas, and a Terrific Read
By Anne Mills
This is one of the most interesting books I have read in a long time, even if the author's arguments don't always convince me entirely. But he does attempt an heroic task -- explaining the broadest rhythms of human history -- and he does offer brilliant exposition. Also, the book is a pleasure to read: Morris is an entertaining and sometimes amusing writer whose prose is refreshingly free of academese. What's best about the book, I think, is its presentation of history outside the narrow confines in which we in the West tend to think -- "modern" European history, i.e. European and North American history since the Renaissance. Morris shows that other cultures have shown parallel patterns, in the process teaching me a great deal that I did not know about ancient history apart from the Greeks and Romans, and about Chinese history. The tool that he uses to compare different cultures is an index of social development: he recognizes that there are a whole lot of questions about this, but in general offers it as a very rough and imprecise measure: as a metaphor, I can live with it. The final section of the book, on where we go from here, was interesting (and scary) though I found it a bit less gripping that Morris's views on where we have been. All in all, and enjoyable and mind-opening book.

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Tuesday, February 16, 2010

[V941.Ebook] PDF Download Medical Statistics: A Textbook for the Health Sciences, by Michael J. Campbell, David Machin, Stephen J. Walters

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Medical Statistics: A Textbook for the Health Sciences, by Michael J. Campbell, David Machin, Stephen J. Walters

Medical Statistics: A Textbook for the Health Sciences, by Michael J. Campbell, David Machin, Stephen J. Walters



Medical Statistics: A Textbook for the Health Sciences, by Michael J. Campbell, David Machin, Stephen J. Walters

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Medical Statistics: A Textbook for the Health Sciences, by Michael J. Campbell, David Machin, Stephen J. Walters

Provides students and practitioners with a clear, concise introduction to the statistics they will come across in their regular reading of clinical papers.

Written by three experts with wide teaching and consulting experience, Medical Statistics: A Textbook for the Health Sciences, Fourth Edition:

  • Assumes no prior knowledge of statistics
  • Covers all essential statistical methods
  • Completely revised, updated and expanded
  • Includes numerous examples and exercises on the interpretation of the statistics in papers published in medical journals

From the reviews of the previous edition:

"The book has several excellent features: it is written by statisticians, is.... well presented, is well referenced.... and is short." THE LANCET

"Many statisticians are concerned at the generally poor standard of statistics in papers published in medical journals. Perhaps this could be remedied if more research workers would spare a few hours to read through Campbell and Machin's book." BRITISH MEDICAL JOURNAL

"... a simple, interesting and insightful introduction to medical statistics... highly recommended."  STATISTICAL METHODS IN MEDICAL RESEARCH

"Campbell and Machin found the golden mean... this book can be recommended for all students and all medical researchers."  ISCB NEWSLETTER 

  • Sales Rank: #52309 in Books
  • Published on: 2007-08-06
  • Ingredients: Example Ingredients
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 9.68" h x .65" w x 6.68" l, 1.14 pounds
  • Binding: Paperback
  • 344 pages

Review
"This is an excellent text for teaching an introductory course in biostatistics and for those interested in self-study." (The American Statistician, November 2008)

“This book seems to me to be a very useful course text for an audience of students in the health sciences.” (Biometrics, December 2008)

"This is an excellent text for teaching an introductory course in biostatistics and for those interested in self-study." (The American Statistician, November 2008)

"…this reviewer recommends without any reservation this book for an introductory course in medical statistics." (MAA Reviews, December 28, 2007)

From the Back Cover
Now in its fourth edition, this book is an updated and expanded version of a best seller in medical statistics. It is a concise, clearly written introduction to statistical terms and methods used in medicine.

Many medical and health science students will have some knowledge of statistics when they take up their courses. However this knowledge is often general in nature and not relevant to a medical environment.  Medical Statistics: A Textbook for the Health Sciences , Fourth Edition provides students and practitioners with a clear, readable introduction to the statistics they will come across in their regular reading of clinical papers. References to real examples and published papers are used throughout as part of the teaching element of the book

Review of the Third Edition

"a simple, interesting and insightful introduction to medical statistics...highly recommended." Statistical Methods in Medical Research

 

  • comprehensive coverage of the essential statistical methods.
  • worked examples and exercises on the interpretation of the statistics in papers published in medical journals.
  • written by three experts with wide teaching and consulting experience.
  • excellent layout of information, learning objectives, test questions and answers all serving to promote the book’s proven effectiveness as a learning tool

 

About the Author
Michael J. Campbell. Professor of Medical Statistics, Institute of Primary Care and General Practice, University of Sheffield, UK

David Machin. Division of Clinical Trials and Epidemiological Sciences, National Cancer Center, Singapore

Stephen Walters. Senior Lecturer in Medical Statistics, Sheffield Health Economics Group, ScHARR, University of Sheffield, UK

Most helpful customer reviews

0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
Too Basic to be useful
By zuzana
Very basic, (not even anova), has a number of typos, and is not very consistent in its naming. also, does not include information on any software, so you'd need a companion book anyway. Just use the free online biologist's guide to statistics.

0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
This textbook is for people already well versed in statistics ...
By Brad Lipert
This textbook is for people already well versed in statistics. The authors probably have not talked to any normal people for a long time.

0 of 1 people found the following review helpful.
A good book
By Susan A. Ott
A good book for Biostatistics class. Very concise and well organized. Not for the beginner however- you will need something to reinforce the material in this book and fully understand it.

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Sunday, February 14, 2010

[N134.Ebook] Download Design to Grow: How Coca-Cola Learned to Combine Scale and Agility (and How You Can Too), by David Butler, Linda Tischler

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Expert advice from Coca-Cola’s Vice President of Innovation and Entrepreneurship: Learn how the world’s largest beverage brand uses design to grow its business by combining the advantages of a large-scale company with the agility of a nimble startup.

Every company needs both scale and agility to win. From a fledging startup in Nepal, to a century-old multinational in New York, scale and agility are two qualities that are essential to every company’s success. Start-ups understand agility. They know just when to pivot to stay alive. But what they haven’t mastered yet is how to stabilize their business model so they can move to the next stage and become full-fledged companies. And well-established companies know scale. They are successful because they know how to leverage size with a high degree of effectiveness and efficiency. But what worries them most is staying competitive in a world of increasing uncertainty and change, complicated by upstarts searching for ways to disrupt the industry. So what is the key to creating the kind of scale and agility necessary to stay competitive in this day and age? The answer is design.

In Design to Grow, a Coca-Cola senior executive shares both the successes and failures of one of the world’s largest companies as it learns to use design to be both agile and big. In this rare and unprecedented behind-the-scenes look, David Butler and senior Fast Company editor, Linda Tischler, use plain language and easy-to-understand case studies to show how this works at Coca-Cola—and how other companies can use the same approach to grow their business. This book is a must-read for managers inside large corporations as well as entrepreneurs just getting started.

  • Sales Rank: #447092 in Books
  • Published on: 2016-02-23
  • Released on: 2016-02-23
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 8.37" h x .80" w x 5.50" l, .0 pounds
  • Binding: Paperback
  • 256 pages

Review
“What explains Coca-Cola’s worldwide market dominance? David Butler and Linda Tischler argue that it’s a result of attention to design details at every level of the organization, in every product line, in every country, by every employee. Whatever the size of your enterprise, you’ll find in this book a master class in problem-solving, in cross-cultural marketing, and in decision-making.” (Daniel H. Pink, author of To Sell Is Human and Drive)

“Kudos to Coke’s leaders for embracing the power of designers like David Butler not only to make their products more accessible, but to improve how the entire business operates. In Design to Grow, Butler and Linda Tischler provide a step-by-step guide on how to translate design principles for lasting value. And they do it as only good designers would: simply and with a compelling story.” (Beth Comstock, CMO, GE)

“Big and fast, complex and focused, large scale and agile. These seem like oxymorons in the world of business innovation. Using examples from the history of Coca-Cola, David Butler and Linda Tischler show how it is possible to embrace these tensions through the use of design. Reading Design to Grow has caused me to think differently about my company. I am confident it will do the same for how you think about yours.” (Tim Brown, CEO of IDEO)

“Design to Grow walks the reader down a brilliant, gentle path to understand how one of the world’s most important brands is applying design to transform its global enterprise. It shows readers how to reach extraordinary and often infernally complex accomplishments—like scale and agility, a seemingly impossible combination—in a way that isn't magical or exclusive, but rather a systematic approach to creative thinking. What’s more, it does what every great design strives to do—it makes it look easy.” (Bruce Mau, Co-Founder, Massive Change Network)

“David Butler and Linda Tischler demystify the transformation organizations face in this hyper-complex era. Now is the time to become more agile, more focused, more resilient. And a major key that can unlock that potential is design. Design to Grow is a practical guide leaders need to understand design, unleash creativity in all levels of an organization, and make it drive the right action. It’s a book you’ll come back to again and again as you design the future.” (Keith Yamashita, Chairman, SY/Partners, and a kyu collective member)

“Butler and Tischler’s book is an embodiment of how design is all about actionable opposites. They argue that design can help big companies, which have already mastered scale, learn to be agile—which breaks with common sense corporate wisdom. So, too, they say, design can help small companies and startups, which are already agile, achieve scale. Design to Grow shows exactly how Coca-Cola did it (without giving away the secret recipe to that brown fizzy liquid that we all love). And they lay out the principles that any company can use to do the same.” (John Maeda, Design Partner, Kleiner Perkins Caufield & Byers, and author of Redesigning Leadership)

About the Author
David Butler is the Vice President of Innovation and Entrepreneurship at The Coca-Cola Company and is responsible for Coca-Cola’s Accelerator Program designed to generate early-stage, high-growth startups. Under David’s leadership, Coca-Cola has been recognized with numerous design awards, including the prestigious Grand Prix from the Cannes Lions International Advertising Festival. In 2009, David was recognized by Fast Company as a “Master of Design” and by Fortune for its 2013 Executive Dream Team. David is a member of the World Economic Forum’s Global Agenda Council on Design and Innovation.

Linda Tischler is an award-winning editor at Fast Company magazine, where she writes about the intersection of design and business. She helped launch Fast Company’s design website, FastCoDesign.com, which is now the web’s largest design site. Prior to joining Fast Company, Tischler was an editor at Boston Magazine, where she initiated the New England Design Awards. She has also written for Metropolitan Home, The Boston Globe, and Huffington Post and held editing and writing jobs at the Boston Herald and Microsoft’s Sidewalk.com.

Excerpt. © Reprinted by permission. All rights reserved.
Design to Grow CHAPTER 1 Design
The dumbest mistake is viewing design as something you do at the end of the process to “tidy up” the mess, as opposed to understanding it’s a “day one” issue and part of everything.

Tom Peters

If you ever thought growing your business was tough, try selling water.

In first-world countries, clean, drinkable water is ubiquitous and, for the most part, feels free. Turn on the tap, and you’re good to go.

What’s more, most people think water basically tastes the same no matter where you live. Eau de Grand Rapids, in their minds, is not that much different from Stuttgart H2O. Hardly a potential business model there.

Put it in a bottle, however, and suddenly you’ve got something: It’s convenient. In developed countries, when people are on the go, many like to take their water with them: phone, keys, water, check. In developing countries, where most tap water is not safe to drink, bottled water is critical. It’s essential for everything from cooking to brushing teeth. Bottles give water economic potential.

In the past decade, bottled water has become big business all around the world.

For a beverage company, that makes it an attractive addition to a portfolio. Compared to, say, juice, being in the bottled water business seems simple. No weather catastrophes, no crop diseases, no worries about bee colony collapse. But it’s not. The margins are razor thin, and differentiating your brand is extremely difficult.

So, if you’re in the bottled water business, the way you design everything from your supply chain to your packaging is critical. Design can create a powerful competitive advantage.

You may be surprised that a company best known for billion-dollar sparkling brands like Coca-Cola, Sprite, and Fanta also has two billion-dollar water brands. But, then, few people know that Coca-Cola’s portfolio includes over 3,500 products, ranging from milk to juice to coffee, with over five hundred brands, such as Core Power, Qoo, and Love Body.

Around the globe, the company owns about one hundred water brands, including Dasani in the United States, Bonaqua in Hong Kong, Ciel in Mexico, and Kropla Beskido in Poland. Even though the main ingredient in all of Coca-Cola’s products is water, it was a relative late-comer to the bottled water business. However, with its bottling capacity and distribution network, it was a logical category for the company to move into.

Bottled water subsequently has become one of the company’s most significant businesses. Coca-Cola sold 5.8 billion liters of bottled water abroad and 253 million liters in the United States and Canada from 2007 to 2012.

Even for a company as big as Coca-Cola, creating competitive advantage for its water brands is an ongoing challenge.

Several years ago, in Japan, for example, its biggest brand of water, Minaqua, began showing signs of fatigue. It had never been a rock star in the company’s portfolio but had chugged along delivering reliable results for a long time. Yet, over the years, Minaqua’s market share had gradually dropped to the lowest in the category. In 2010, the company decided to do something about it. It wasn’t clear what was to blame: Price? Availability? Packaging? Advertising? Customer relationships? A survey of the business yielded the most dispiriting of answers: “Likely, all of the above.”

It’s at this point—when different elements of your business don’t connect to drive your growth strategy—that a business problem turns into a design problem.

That may be a surprising assertion, if you think of design only in terms of the color of the label or shape of the package. Those are all important, but design also has a much greater capacity to help your business if you think of it as the thread that connects all the dots. Once you get beneath the surface, and understand how design can help make all of the aspects of your business relate to each other, you can begin to really understand its power.

Before we talk about how Coca-Cola tackled the myriad, interconnected problems plaguing Minaqua, let’s drop back for a moment and get clear on one of the most frustrating issues bedeviling any discussion of design. Namely, what, exactly, is it?
What Is Design?
Put this book down for a minute and look around you. Maybe you’re reading this in a cozy armchair in your living room, or in the scrunched middle seat of an airplane. No matter. Survey your surroundings as if you were an archeologist who just unearthed all the things in your environment from the bottom of a pit.

Everything you see is designed by somebody.

That coffee mug you’re holding, or the plastic cup holding your airline O.J., the lamp beside the chair or the one above your seat, the chair itself, the tray table, the ottoman, the carton the orange juice came from, the pattern of the fabric on the seat, the uniforms of the flight crew, the plane’s engines, the gizmo that controls the entertainment center—all have been designed by somebody.

Most of us don’t design smart phones, electric cars, or skyscrapers, but each of us designs stuff every day. We design meetings, presentations, deals, our plans for the weekend, the configuration of stuff on our (literal and virtual) desktops, children’s birthday parties, the menu for dinner, and so on. In fact, we’re all designers—we all design, all the time. It’s just that each of us is better at designing some things than others.

Most people understand that there’s a difference between good and bad design. And the same goes for companies—most people understand that companies are also better at designing some things better than others. So the challenge is not whether or not we should design.

The challenge, for all of us, is to design better—to get the most value out of the way we design.

However, is that possible? Can regular people—people without the word design in their title—really understand the difference between good and bad design so they, or their team or company, can actually be better designers? The answer is an unqualified Yes!

LESSON LEARNED #1

Start by Losing the D word

The word design can mean a lot of things to a lot of people. But design is just a means to an end, not the end.

After my first few months at the company, I tried to stop using the word design as much as possible. It just got in the way of the conversation.

Instead, I tried engaging people on things that drive our business and talked about the impact that design could make, stuff that everybody was interested in and could understand. We found we had lots to discuss.

Here’s the point: The precise language you use to talk about design is not important. The critical thing is to communicate the value that design can create by connecting things to solve a problem. If using more familiar language is part of that, don’t sweat it. There’s nothing magical about words like user-centered, hierarchy, or interaction. (If you don’t have design in your title, chances are these words don’t mean anything to you anyway. Don’t worry about it.)

When I’m talking to a group of people internally—marketers, finance people, sales guys, accountants, or even some of our scientists, I focus on how design creates value. I try to stay focused on how things connect, in their world, to better understand design.

I often ask people to think about their favorite restaurant. Sure, the food is probably good. But is that enough to make you keep going back? What about the look and feel of the place? What’s the atmosphere like? The comfort of the seats? How about the view? The friendliness of the staff? Do they remember your name? Is the menu easy to read, even by candlelight? How about the plates, or the utensils, or the tables? Can you easily book online, or find the latest specials on the Web site? Is it easy to park? Are the acoustics such that you can actually hold a conversation without shouting? Any one of these things is necessary, but not sufficient. Connect them all and you likely have a very successful restaurant.

You can use your own examples from your favorite vacation, your favorite car, or the house you most enjoyed living in. Design played an important role because lots of things seemed to fit together seamlessly—maybe even intuitively—to the point at which you didn’t even really have to think about it. And that’s how design creates value.

By losing so-called designy language, you are forced to come up with other metaphors for what you’re describing, tailored to the audience you’re addressing. And that, in and of itself, is by design.

Key Takeaway: The language of design can be confusing and alienating to a lot of people. There’s no magic in design lingo and no reason to be wedded to it. Substitute language that works for the group you’re addressing if it helps everybody understand.

It’s easy to know the difference between good and bad design.

Let’s go back to our discussion of the designed elements you see every time you get on an airplane. If airline travel is part of your job, you likely know which airlines have better seats than others. If you’re like me, you’ve thought about the way your seat was designed. I often ask myself questions like, “Why did they put the button here?” “Do I really have to go through all these steps just to be able to turn on the light?” Or, “Doesn’t anybody ever try sitting in these before they install them?” (Okay, if I’m honest, I’ve used stronger language—especially when it took me more than five minutes to find the electrical outlet.)

If you’ve ever done this, you’ve evaluated the design of the seat without even thinking about it—you’ve determined if the seat was good or bad design. Maybe at first glance the seat looked good; it may have even felt good—nice leather, a cool shade of blue. But when you actually sat in it or tried to sleep in it on your way to Buenos Aires, it turned out to be very uncomfortable. And it’s obvious at that point that you don’t have to have the word design in your title or wear cool shoes to make an astute value judgment about design.
Art vs. Design
So, if everyone is a designer, and everything is designed, how do you know when something is really good? It’s simple enough to agree that if a seat on an airplane is uncomfortable it isn’t good design, but how can you begin to use design to create real business value?

In so many cases, what seems good is in the eye of the beholder: Is one font really going to move product more than another? Is one shade of Google blue really going to be superior to others?

People often say things like, “You really have an eye for design.” I never really know what that means. But it’s what we’ve come to expect when the word design is used interchangeably with words like art or creativity. So, let’s see if we can distinguish between these terms.

Every child is born knowing how to pick up a crayon and draw. Or, if given macaroni, glue, and glitter, they can make something you might even call art. Okay, if not art, you’d say your kid was certainly creative. Especially on parents’ night at school, when you see your kid’s macaroni masterpiece hanging next to the others you may have thought, Yep, that’s my kid’s art—it’s much better than that kid’s art.

Art is very subjective, even if you take the influence of parenthood out of it. As we get older or exposed to different forms, we begin to have an opinion about the kind of art we like. Our world view expands. Our taste moves beyond macaroni masterpieces to Monet or Mondrian.

But that is all it is—just our subjective opinion. In reality, the artist—the person who created the thing—generally doesn’t really care about what you think. It’s his self-expression, his point-of-view, his take on the subject matter at hand. If you like it, you buy it. If you don’t, you won’t. This is why some people say you can’t really understand art—you just have to feel it or experience it.

But design is different.

Design is about intentionally connecting things to solve problems.

Design is only good if it solves a problem. Good design makes something easier to read, easier to understand, easier to use. Good design makes a difficult task less complicated.

Thus, the design of a book is the way the concepts, the tone of voice, the character development, the fonts, the paper or screen, all combine or connect to convey the story, not simply the object itself. The design of your phone is the way it helps you do what you need to do with it—make a call, send a text—not just materials used or the shape of the hardware. Lots of elements have to connect when you push a button on your phone to make a call. It all comes together for you to let your spouse know you’ll be late for dinner. The value lies in ease of use and helping you solve your problem, not just the object’s form or beauty.

This is where we can really begin to start to understand the value of design, especially if you’re in business. If you can use design to solve problems, especially big problems that lots of people have, then lots of people will want to buy what you make, work for your company, or invest in your stock. But there’s more.

One of the chief concerns for all businesses is financial: How do you grow your top-line revenues and/or reduce your bottom-line operating expenses? Those numbers at the bottom of a balance sheet are not very subjective, and have nothing to do with self- expression. In fact, in business, abstract, conceptual things are mostly rejected in a search for clarity that will ultimately help drive profitable growth for the company.

If you want to run a company successfully, you have to solve problems for your firm, your customers, or your stakeholders. This has everything to do with design and almost nothing to do with art. As a business, you may use art to stimulate. But you need design to solve problems.

Good design solves problems in a way that feels simpler, easier, better—in short, less complicated. Bad design may solve one problem, but create another in the process. At its worst, it can make even simple things more difficult.

Good design makes things less complicated. Bad design makes things more complicated.

A classic example is the TV remote. I used to have a remote that made me feel bad every time I used it. At first I thought it was me, that I just wasn’t smart enough to figure it out. Then I read the directions carefully, and tried hard to use it again. Couldn’t do it. Bad design like that is all around us. We’ve come to expect it.

One of my favorite graphic designers, Paul Rand, put it this way: “The public is more familiar with bad design than good design. It is, in effect, conditioned to prefer bad design, because that is what it lives with.”

Bad design is the default mode, since it takes the least effort to create.

Good design, by contrast, never happens by chance—you have to be very intentional.

Once you understand that we’re all designers and the difference between good and bad design, we need to go one more level down; we need also to understand how design relates to the stuff that we can’t see.

To really understand the value of design, you have to begin to understand how the visible and the invisible elements connect.

For example, remember the last time you were in the market for a new apartment or house. You weren’t just looking for great doorknobs or a beautiful carpet. You didn’t buy the house because of the curve in the driveway. The decision was also based on the price, your commute to the office, the crime rate of the neighborhood, the potential resale value, the neighbors, and the schools. Some of what you evaluated was easy to see. Other things were invisible—not immediately apparent, but just as important.

Of course you looked at everything individually, but you were looking for the total package or the end-to-end solution to your problem of finding a new place to live. In the end, what prompted you to rent or buy the place was how all of these individual things added up. All of the places you looked at probably had the same basic elements but the one you picked was likely the one where all of the pieces added up to feel very connected—everything worked together in a way that made it seem like a better value than the others. And that’s how design creates the most value for companies—by connecting things seamlessly, intuitively, and appealingly.

But how does this all work? How can you use design to connect the stuff you can see with the stuff you can’t see?
Systems and Design
Another way to think about how visible and invisible elements connect is to think about them as a system. There are many ways to define a system, but I like the way Donella Meadows, one of the foremost experts in systems theory, defines it: as “a set of things—people, cells, molecules, or whatever—interconnected in such a way that they produce their own pattern of behavior over time.”

The way I can easily remember the definition is . . .

A system is a set of elements and behaviors that connect to do one thing.



Most of the time the elements are easy to see—the tangible stuff—a door handle, a button, a product’s packaging, and so on. But it’s harder to see behaviors. Behaviors are how the various elements work together to do something.

If you’re in business, your goal is to make sure the visible stuff (your products, your communications, your employees, etc.) connects to the invisible stuff (your partnerships, your processes, your culture) in a way that helps your company succeed. If they don’t connect in the right way, this can actually hinder growth. And this is how design becomes strategic—in other words, the way you design, or the way you connect the visible with the invisible can actually enable growth or prevent it.

For example, what makes one soccer team better than another? On the surface, they all basically look the same. They have the same number of players, same basic uniform, same kinds of shoes, same kind of ball, and so forth. But a winning soccer team is about much more than those things.

Everybody knows the way the players behave and connect with each other on the field is what creates the power. Each team has a specific way in which they play to win. So, when you watch a team like Spain’s Real Madrid or Germany’s Bayern München, you marvel not only at what you see but also what you don’t see. As a team, they are designed to win.

As a company, that’s the challenge: to design elements like logos, products, supply chains, and so on, so that they work together to create growth for the company.

Let’s contrast our soccer example with a system that wasn’t designed very well.

In the United States, President Obama chose universal healthcare as the signature piece of legislation of his presidency. Giving everyone access to affordable healthcare is a very big and complex problem—needing a holistic, end-to-end solution.

However, in late 2013, when the program was launched, it was clear that there was a big problem—a design problem. A lot of people focused on what was visible, easy to see—the Web site—www.healthcare.gov. Trying to register on the site or search for a service provider was very complicated. Many people complained of waiting interminably before being redirected to an error page that said something like, “Error from: https%3A//www.healthcare.gov/oberr.cgi%3Fstatus%253D500%2520errmsg%253DErrEngineDown%23signUpStepOne.”



However, what many people didn’t realize was that the front-end interface was designed by one company and the back end, the server-side code which handled all of the various processes (registration, search, etc.), was designed by a different firm. The user-interface is the part of Healthcare.gov that everyone can see—the elements like the buttons and photographs. And the back end—the code—was the part that no one could see. It drove the behaviors associated with finding a provider. Each was designed in a silo and didn’t connect. Whoever managed the design process didn’t think about all of the elements and behaviors as a system. They didn’t intentionally connect all of the elements and behaviors to solve a problem.

Once the problems became apparent, the team moved to fix the troubled site by getting everybody on the same page. By December, they reported that the site “worked smoothly for the vast majority of users.” Things had finally begun to connect—the back end to the front end to the people who logged on to use it.

All too often, problems don’t exist in isolation. You can’t solve one without affecting another. This is where design creates value that’s hard to see or quantify, in that, by connecting things more smoothly, the entire experience improves.

Professional designers do this for a living. They are expert connectors. They know how to connect that bridge to the highway to the airport. And, once inside, they know how to connect the kiosks to the security lines to the seats at the gate. They understand how all of those things connect to the flight patterns of the airlines to the cities, highways, and bridges at the other end.

They’re the ones responsible for connecting the user interface on your Web site to the billing system to the warehouse to the boxes and bubble wrap for the product you’re selling. You don’t have to be a professional designer to know when things are well connected; everything just feels less complicated. And, if they’re not connecting well, problems invariably result: bad highway design leads to traffic jams, bad Web site design means users bail before purchasing, and bad security design means missed flights.

Anyone can learn how to connect things in a way that makes them less complicated, simpler, and easier to do. Connecting can apply both to very tangible things like machines to abstract things like supply chains, organization charts, and customer relationships.

When you design the solution as a system, you can begin to solve many connected problems, across your business.

So, to see how this works in practice, let’s head back to Japan, where the Coca-Cola team is trying to fix its troubled bottled water business.
Redesigning Minaqua
With Minaqua there wasn’t just one issue, there were many. Not only was each of these business problems challenging on its own, but they were all the more complex because they were also connected. Addressing just one of them wasn’t going to turn the business around. Somehow, they all needed to be solved simultaneously.

But, where to begin? In short, how do you begin to redesign everything, at the same time?

Selling water is different from selling smartphones. You can’t just redesign the shape of the product or add a new feature like retina display to gain market share. The Minaqua team knew that it would need to design new advertising, maybe a new Web site, probably a new package. It also knew it needed to look at the product’s pricing strategy, customer relationships, and supply chain. It knew there had to be synergy among all of these to get the business growing again.

A small crossfunctional, multidisciplined team was assembled in Tokyo. It included designers, strategic planners, marketers, engineers, brand managers, customer relationship managers, and guys from the bottling operation who were experts on manufacturing and logistics. They uncovered a key insight: In Japan, recycling is not a nice-to-have; it’s a way of life. Japan recycles more than 70 percent of its plastics and more than 80 percent of aluminum cans. (Compare that to the United States, which recycles a disappointing 31.5 percent of its waste.) When the team stepped back and looked at Minaqua, it was clear that the product wasn’t connecting to any of this insight.

If the team could tap into that national commitment to responsible behavior, and redesign the whole water brand around this insight, it might be able to reverse the decline of the company’s water business.

One other bit of data caught the team’s attention. Tokyo alone is home to 13 million people. While the city no longer ranks as the largest in the world, its vast, 800 square mile metropolitan area gives it bragging rights as the world’s largest, with 20 million people—26.5 million if you add in neighboring Yokohama. It’s also an expensive place to live, often topping lists of the world’s priciest cities.

That means housing prices are steep, especially around the center of the city, and the average size of an apartment is small. The New York Times reported that a typical unit runs about 70 square meters, or 750 square feet. Compare that to the United States, with an average of 214 square meters, or Australia with 206.

Why would the Minaqua team care about housing sizes in Tokyo? Simple: a bin of empty water bottles takes up valuable space. That might not be a big deal in a garage in suburban Chicago, but in a place where every square inch is precious, the volume of solid waste matters.

The problems were clear: slipping sales, undifferentiated product, challenges around packaging. And so was the opportunity: a country’s passion for recycling, and an eagerness to do the right thing in the face of some serious hurdles.

In 2009, Coca-Cola Japan introduced an all new Japanese brand of water, ILOHAS (Lifestyles of Health and Sustainability). It came packaged in a new Flex bottle, which weighed just 12 grams when it was empty, 40 percent less than the company’s other plastic bottles and the lightest package in Japan. Using a bottle that light allowed the company to reduce the amount of carbon dioxide produced in the manufacturing process by an estimated 3,000 tons. That’s equivalent to a 24,000 acre forest. It also meant lighter delivery loads, recycling shipments with less wasted air, and a smaller number of waste disposal emissions. The company was designing on purpose: connecting things across the entire system—from less plastic in manufacturing (resulting in cost savings) to a smaller carbon footprint (less impact on the planet).

However, that wasn’t the fun part. Because the bottle is so light, it can easily be twisted by hand into a thin, gnarly scrap of plastic. That means it takes up significantly less room in recycling bins. What’s more, it makes a delicious crunching sound when you twist it. The pleasure is almost as intense as when you pop the pods in a sheet of bubble wrap. Plus, that let the team get around another problem it discovered: Women don’t like to crush bottles with their shoes. It’s nasty getting a squished water bottle stuck on the heel of your Jimmy Choo stilettos!

The team in Japan designed an advertising campaign that connected the message that ILOHAS is the “water which changes the world with your small action” with the design of a new ritual that reinforced the brand message. The ritual itself was simple : 1. Choose, 2. Drink, 3. Twist, 4. Recycle.

That simple message went viral in Japan, where consumers posted videos on YouTube featuring themselves twisting and art students created films using the cast-offs. What’s more, sales of the product spiked by double digits in fewer than six months, along with a dramatic rise in recycling, despite our charging a premium price for the brand.

The critical thing to note is that no one thing was more important than the other; success came from how each element was designed to work with all the others.

So, where do you begin? What does this mean for your team, your function, or your company? How can you ensure that you’re designing in a way that helps you win? One way is by making sure that you’re clear about why you’re doing what you’re doing, before you start figuring out how to do it. A famous TED talk explains how this works.
Designing for the Why
Have you ever heard of the Golden Circle? It’s a model that Simon Sinek, researcher, author, and educator, first introduced in his book, Start With Why, and elaborated on in a TED talk in 2009.

Sinek uses a simple model—three concentric circles—to discuss the interdependencies between the what, how, and why great people and companies succeed. Great leaders, companies, or individuals “think, act, and communicate” and “inspire action” by starting with the Why. They focus on their purpose first—why they do what they do—not how they do it or what they make. As you’d imagine, he’s a great communicator—once you watch the video, it’s hard to get his mantra that “people don’t buy what you do, they buy why you do it” out of your head.

When I first saw the talk, I was blown away with Sinek’s ability to make such a complicated concept easy to understand. After I watched it a few more times, I remember scribbling the circles on a Post-it note and adding the word design to the framework.
The Golden Circle


By the time I first encountered Sinek, we had been working for almost five years to transform the way we designed—the “How” we designed. We also had the idea, spelled out in my Jerry Maguire manifesto, that we should always be “designing on purpose,” starting with the Why. Most of the projects that we’ll discuss in Part 2, such as the Freestyle drink machine; the marketing tool Design Machine; and the 5-Note Melody were in full development.

Once I simply added the word design to Sinek’s model, something clicked—everything connected—the interdependencies between the Why, How, and What of design. I started using Sinek’s model to talk about design.

Now, there’s no magic in the Golden Circle model. It was just another tool we’ve used to help everyone understand design and ultimately create more value. However, Sinek’s model helped me to understand what often is missing as companies grapple with the place of design in their organizations.

Most companies focus on what they design. Companies that get the full value out of design start with why they design and then shape how they design—their process—around their purpose.

We’ll use this framework throughout the rest of the book to help us think holistically about design. Why becomes, Why we design—our purpose for design. How becomes, How we design—our process for design. And lastly, What becomes, What we design—the type of product or service we design.

LESSON LEARNED #2

Are you thinking about design holistically?

Ask yourself these three questions:

1. Is design aligned with your growth strategy?

Start with the Why—what’s the purpose driving how you design in your organization? Is your growth strategy more about growing through scale or agility?

2. What’s your design process?

Then move to the how—what’s your design process? Have you codified how your organization designs? Does it align with your growth strategy—your Why? If so, how consistent is your approach across the organization?

3. Do your products (or services) enable your Why?

Does everything connect to enable your purpose? Does the invisible connect with the visible? When you look at your products or services—are all of the elements and behaviors connected to drive the Why?

Thinking holistically about design—the Why, How, and What—can create competitive advantage and growth for anyone. But how does that simple idea translate into a company that operates in over 200 countries with billion-dollar brands? Understanding the power of design is one thing, but creating that kind of value is rare.

For a century, The Coca-Cola Company channeled the power of design to strategically grow its business by designing for scale. But as we’ve seen with the ILOHAS example, it takes more than scale to win in today’s world. Today, we must design in a way that’s agile enough to adapt to a vast array of different environments and needs.

Most companies that operate successfully on a global scale have figured that out. That’s why you can get McBaguettes in McDonald’s in France, and McAloo Tikki potato burgers at McDonald’s in India. But Minaqua, the example that opened this chapter, demonstrates the need to ramp this capability up one more level. In a complex world, it’s also not enough simply to put a product out there in a range of variations and through a variety of channels and hope for the best.

We need to think bigger. We need to think about resource scarcity—in the case of ILOHAS, the plastic (PET) used for the bottle and how to minimize the amount used. We need to think about the Why—the context—in this case, the space constraints of Japanese apartments that make having a recycling bin of empty bottles in the kitchen impractical. We need to think about culture—in Tokyo, the Japanese ethos around sustainability. We need to think about social media—with ILOHAS, how designing a ritual around recycling had the potential to inspire behavior if it caught on. In short, the company needed to think about the entirety of the product, from its birth to its afterlife, in order to design it in a way that creates the most competitive advantage, while simultaneously creating shared value for partners, whether they are retailers of the beverage, package recyclers, or consumers who simply wanted to dispose of a container responsibly after using it.

In our next chapter, we’ll go a step deeper and dig into how design can create scale. We’ll show how The Coca-Cola Company used design, very strategically, to scale from a little startup to a billion-dollar, multinational company.

Most helpful customer reviews

2 of 2 people found the following review helpful.
Essential Tool for In-house Design Leaders
By Adam B
As the leader of a design team in a CPG company, I found Design to Grow to be extremely inspiring. It has armed me with numerous examples from the experiences of one of the world’s most admired brands (Coca-Cola) on how they used design thinking to scale globally and yet remain agile. David brings to life many of the common challenges that designers face (especially in-house creative groups), but that we sometimes struggle to articulate. He outlines simple steps of Simplify, Standardize & Integrate and how these helped him achieve success over the last decade at Coca-Cola.

After reading Design to Grow, I gave copies to key Executives and other design leaders in the company. One Executive came to me later to discuss how fascinated they were with the concept that design thinking is not exclusive to a small group of “specialists”, but rather something that can be applied by anyone in an organization to solve almost any challenge. “Design is not just decoration, but a way of thinking that connects disparate elements to develop a solution.” For designers looking to champion design thinking within an organization, this book will be an essential tool in your cause.

1 of 1 people found the following review helpful.
Great help for anyone aspiring to create and scale innovation with agility in a large enterprise.
By Siva
Great help for anyone looking to scale an innovation within a large organization fast.
This book gives ideas as well as a structured template to scale fast and build agility into a large system.

I found - Simplify, Standardize and Integrate to build Scale - a good method any one can put to use immediate.
Plan Backward for agility is an innovative idea from the authors. Instead of coming up with a plan and measuring its results, start with results and form your plan around them.
Designing your company as a modular system is a good practical idea for creating speed and flexibility.
Like Lego blocks add, subtract and reconfigure parts fast to meet the changing market demands.

Overall enjoyed reading this book and found it suitable for immediate practical application.
Besides its a lucid and interesting read with many real life examples.

Would recommend highly for anyone looking to ignite innovation within a large system and scale fast with agility

1 of 1 people found the following review helpful.
CocaCola, sucess drink, sucess marketing, sucess strategy, sucess management.
By Theodoro
In my continuous study of business, strategy, big producers, internet. CocaCola is special , we all see Coke around but maybe we not pay attention to the strategy of this big company . David in his experience at the company guive some good views of how the company have been grown to operate in 200 cowtrys and some of the challenges thay have to solv . The born and growth of a giant. I am Mineral Water producer and can evaluate the grate chalenges thay have day by day . How thay made ​​it ? Grate experts ! What comes to your mind when you think USA? 1- CocaCola 2- Jeans 3- Burgers? .... CocaCola !

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